t’s not surprising that the coronavirus had many economists, analysts, and experts expecting the housing market to suffer in 2020. Social distancing, stay-at-home orders, and fear were all expected to slow sales and put the brakes on what was originally forecast to be a hot spring/summer market. But since buyers bounced back faster than predicted, the housing market’s outlook has gotten much brighter.
For example, Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group’s most recent outlook calls for annual home sales, mortgage origination volume, and home price growth all to significantly outpace their 2019 levels. Amid a historic pandemic, that’s no small feat. Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist and senior vice president, says supply – not demand – has turned out to be the big issue in 2020.
“Housing continues its multi-year theme of historic supply constraints,” Duncan said. “Strong demand-side drivers, including low mortgage rates and a surge of millennials looking to purchase homes, are contributing to significant home price appreciation, particularly as many older homeowners continue to age in place and other would-be home-sellers adopt a more conservative posture due to COVID-19 concerns, further limiting supply.” (source)